Tag Archives: return

Company Share Buybacks: What are they and do they help forecast stock price returns?

Share buybacks are a controversial topic, in part because they are not well understood. This article will explain stock buybacks and summarize key finding from recent research by Two Sigma: Share Buybacks: A brief Investigation. Q: What is a share buyback? A share buyback occurs when a company buys back their own shares in the […] Read the full article…

Relative Value Update, Emerging Markets Look Particularly Attractive

Stock market returns for US stocks, international developed stocks and emerging market stocks through November are all above 20%. Now is a good time to update our relative value analysis for various equity asset classes and US vs. international markets. In this review, I am going to introduce a new relative value analysis model that […] Read the full article…

Relative Value Analysis: US vs. International Stocks

We are underweighted in developed country international stocks vs. US stocks. There are a number of factors that have led to this underweighting. In this article I’d like to discuss the relative value of US stocks to international stocks. The focus here is on developed country stocks which excludes emerging markets. Relative Value Analysis Our focus […] Read the full article…

Evaluate Your Investment Fund Using Morningstar, Part 2

In part one of this series we reviewed the basic composition of the Vanguard Health Care Mutual Fund (ticker VGHAX) using Morningstar’s website. In this article, we will look at details related to the fundamentals of the fund as well as performance of the fund relative to benchmarks. Before moving on, I wanted to highlight […] Read the full article…

Evaluate Your Investment Fund Using Morningstar, Part 1

Morningstar is research firm that provides data and analysis on a wide range of investments including individual stocks, mutual funds and exchange traded funds.  Morningstar serves retail clients as well as investment professionals. In this three part series, I want to provide investors with an educational review and critique of data available from Morningstar.  My […] Read the full article…

Evaluating Fund Performance Using Regression

In this article, I want to explore some of the quantitative tools we use at Brightwood Ventures to evaluation investment performance. We conduct performance assessments when we make investment selections for model portfolio implementation as well as ongoing performance monitoring. As a general rule, we are biased toward the use passive index investment funds, but […] Read the full article…